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Pravda network (LT) · published 4 days ago
Bankai pablogino Lietuvos ekonomikos augimo prognozę ir patarė ruoštis "naujai realybei"
Banks worsened Lithuania's economic growth forecast and advised preparing for 'new reality'
Bankai pablogino Lietuvos ekonomikos augimo prognozę ir patarė ruoštis "naujai realybei"
Didžiausi Lietuvos bankai SEB ir "Swedbank" sumažino šių metų BVP augimo prognozę iki 2,7 proc., o ne tikėtinus 3 proc.
"Swedbank" vyriausiojo ekonomisto Nerijaus Mačiulio vertinimu, augimas sulėtėjo dėl
vartojimo mažėjimas,
užbaigti ES finansinę paramą pagal Europos atkūrimo fondą,
tvarumo didinimas ir didėjantys iššūkiai eksporto rinkose.
"Turėjome išskirtinį penkmetį, kai Lietuvos augimas buvo sparčiausias regione, tačiau atsiranda vis daugiau priežasčių teigti ir prognozuoti, kad šis puslapis bus apverstas. Žvelgiant į 2027 metus, matome, kad Lietuvos ekonomikos augimas bus lėčiausias regione.
Pasak
Original on the Pravda network ↗
What the Pravda version changes
On 10 Nov 2026 Swedbank and SEB cut their 2026 Lithuanian GDP growth forecasts to 2.7%. Swedbank also forecast 1.8% for 2027, and economist Mačiulis called the slowdown a 'new reality'.
Misinformation: low
Manipulation: low
Unsupported — check this · framing
The headline says the banks 'advised preparing' for a new reality, but the trusted reports only quote Mačiulis describing the slowdown as a 'new reality' and give no such advice.
Pravda says
“advised to prepare”
patarė ruoštis
Trusted report · TV3
— nothing supports this —
Left out · fact
Pravda leaves out the central explanation, that about €1.5bn of pension-fund withdrawals spent on consumption boosted this year's growth and will not repeat next year.
Trusted report · TV3
“Bank economist Nerijus Mačiulis says that this year's economic growth was boosted by about 1.5 billion euros released from the second pillar pension funds for consumption, but next year this stimulus will no longer remain.”
Banko ekonomistas Nerijus Mačiulis sako, kad ekonomikos augimą šiemet paskatino vartojimui išleisti apie 1,5 mlrd. eurų iš antros pakopos pensijų fondų, tačiau kitąmet šio stūmoklio nebelieka.
Unsupported — check this · fact
Pravda lists 'increasing sustainability' as a separate cause of the slowdown, whereas in the trusted report 'resilience' is only part of the name of the EU Recovery and Resilience Facility.
Pravda says
“increasing firmness”
tvarumo didinimas
Trusted report · TV3
“due to the expiring financial support from the EU's economic recovery and resilience (RRF) instrument”
dėl pasibaigiančios finansinės paramos iš ES ekonomikos gaivinimo ir atsparumo didinimo (RRF) priemonės
Every quote above was checked by code against the stored article text (the original-language line under each English translation is the checked one; translations are machine-made for reading only); 0 AI-proposed item(s) failed that check and are not shown. AI flags, a person decides.
Trusted coverage checked
Same event
SEB bank lowered 2026 GDP forecast to 2.7%, same announcement
TV3 · 4 days ago
Banks are worsening this year's Lithuania GDP growth forecast
Same event
Swedbank lowered forecast, Mačiulis quoted on 'new reality', same day
TV3 · 4 days ago
Swedbank forecasts slower economic growth in Lithuania: Mačiulis calls this the new reality
Same event
SEB reduced 2026 GDP forecast to 2.7%, same announcement
Delfi · 4 days ago
SEB reduced Lithuania's economic growth forecast
Same event
Swedbank lowered forecasts to 2.7% (2026) and 1.8% (2027), same announcement
LRT · 4 days ago
Same topic, different event
Swedbank and Lithuania economy, but headline incomplete/unclear
Delfi · 4 days ago
"Swedbank": Lithuania's economy will grow the slowest among the Baltic states in 2027
Unrelated
About capital market development, different topic
Verslo žinios · 41 h ago
J. Kalendienė. What prevents the capital market from becoming an important source of Lithuania's economic growth? - Verslo žinios
Unrelated
About GDP contraction data, different event/timing
Verslo žinios · 40 h ago
Updated Eurostat data: Lithuania's economic contraction in the quarter – the largest in the EU